Bank of Canada Rate Announcement Jan 24th, 2024

Josh Perez • January 24, 2024

Bank of Canada maintains policy rate, continues quantitative tightening.

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

January 24, 2024

The Bank of Canada today held its target for the overnight rate at 5%, with the Bank Rate at 5¼% and the deposit rate at 5%. The Bank is continuing its policy of quantitative tightening.

Global economic growth continues to slow, with inflation easing gradually across most economies. While growth in the United States has been stronger than expected, it is anticipated to slow in 2024, with weakening consumer spending and business investment. In the euro area, the economy looks to be in a mild contraction. In China, low consumer confidence and policy uncertainty will likely restrain activity. Meanwhile, oil prices are about $10 per barrel lower than was assumed in the October Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Financial conditions have eased, largely reversing the tightening that occurred last autumn.

The Bank now forecasts global GDP growth of 2½% in 2024 and 2¾% in 2025, following 2023’s 3% pace. With softer growth this year, inflation rates in most advanced economies are expected to come down slowly, reaching central bank targets in 2025.

In Canada, the economy has stalled since the middle of 2023 and growth will likely remain close to zero through the first quarter of 2024. Consumers have pulled back their spending in response to higher prices and interest rates, and business investment has contracted. With weak growth, supply has caught up with demand and the economy now looks to be operating in modest excess supply. Labour market conditions have eased, with job vacancies returning to near pre-pandemic levels and new jobs being created at a slower rate than population growth. However, wages are still rising around 4% to 5%.

Economic growth is expected to strengthen gradually around the middle of 2024. In the second half of 2024, household spending will likely pick up and exports and business investment should get a boost from recovering foreign demand. Spending by governments contributes materially to growth through the year. Overall, the Bank forecasts GDP growth of 0.8% in 2024 and 2.4% in 2025, roughly unchanged from its October projection.

CPI inflation ended the year at 3.4%. Shelter costs remain the biggest contributor to above-target inflation. The Bank expects inflation to remain close to 3% during the first half of this year before gradually easing, returning to the 2% target in 2025. While the slowdown in demand is reducing price pressures in a broader number of CPI components and corporate pricing behaviour continues to normalize, core measures of inflation are not showing sustained declines.

Given the outlook, Governing Council decided to hold the policy rate at 5% and to continue to normalize the Bank’s balance sheet. The Council is still concerned about risks to the outlook for inflation, particularly the persistence in underlying inflation. Governing Council wants to see further and sustained easing in core inflation and continues to focus on the balance between demand and supply in the economy, inflation expectations, wage growth, and corporate pricing behaviour. The Bank remains resolute in its commitment to restoring price stability for Canadians.

Information note

The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is March 6, 2024. The Bank will publish its next full outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, in the MPR on April 10, 2024.

Read the January 24th, 2024 Monetary Policy Report

< Older Post Newer Post >

Josh Perez

GET STARTED

Deposit Lending And Bridge Financing

By Josh Perez • April 30, 2025

Let’s say you have a home that you’ve outgrown; it’s time to make a move to something better suited to your needs and lifestyle. You have no desire to keep two properties, so selling your existing home and moving into something new (to you) is the best idea. Ideally, when planning out how that looks, most people want to take possession of the new house before moving out of the old one. Not only does this make moving your stuff more manageable, but it also allows you to make the new home a little more “you” by painting or completing some minor renovations before moving in. But what if you need the money from the sale of your existing home to come up with the downpayment for your next home? This situation is where bridge financing comes in. Bridge financing allows you to bridge the financial gap between the firm sale of your current home and the purchase of your new home. Bridge financing allows you to access some of the equity in your existing property and use it for the downpayment on the property you are buying. So now let’s also say that it’s a very competitive housing market where you’re looking to buy. Chances are you’ll want to make the best offer you can and include a significant deposit. If you don’t have immediate access to the cash in your bank account, but you do have equity in your home, a deposit loan allows you to make a very strong offer when negotiating the terms of purchasing your new home. Now, to secure bridge financing and/or a deposit loan, you must have a firm sale on your existing home. If you don’t have a firm sale on your home, you won’t get the bridge financing or deposit loan because there is no concrete way for a lender to calculate how much equity you have available. A firm sale is the key to securing bridge financing and a deposit loan. So if you’d like to know more about bridge financing, deposit loans, or anything else mortgage-related, please connect anytime! It would be a pleasure to work with you.

Should You Double Down or Diversify in Real Estate Investing?

By Josh Perez • April 30, 2025

If you’re crushing it with duplex conversions, Airbnb rentals, flips, or student housing, you might be wondering: Should I double down on what’s working—or start learning about other strategies to diversify my real estate portfolio? It’s a great question—and one I get asked all the time. My typical advice? Double down on your strengths, outsource your weaknesses. If you’ve found a strategy that fits your skills, market, and cash flow goals, it’s smart to build momentum. But in real estate—especially in today’s market—it’s just as important to stay informed and flexible. Why Staying Educated Matters Real estate isn’t static. The rules of the game are constantly changing. Lending practices shift. Local bylaws evolve. What worked flawlessly last year may become less profitable—or even unviable—this year. Here’s what I mean: “If lenders and banks don’t want to lend as much on certain assets—like student rentals or short-term rentals—or they start to clamp down on duplex conversions, that changes your rate of return. That changes the rules of the game.” If your entire strategy depends on leverage (and let’s face it, most real estate investing does), changes in financing can dramatically shift the effectiveness of your current approach. Keep Learning, Stay Adaptable Even if you’re succeeding now, always keep learning. New strategies like BRRRR, rent-to-own, mid-term furnished rentals, or commercial opportunities might offer different advantages in changing markets. You don’t need to master them all, but you do need to understand how they work—and when it might make sense to pivot. Final Thoughts Crushing one niche? Keep going. But don’t ignore the bigger picture. As markets evolve, being aware of shifting rules, lender policies, and local regulations will give you the edge. At the end of the day, the best investors aren’t just good at one strategy—they’re nimble, informed, and proactive. If you want to chat about how to strengthen your current investments and position yourself for what’s next, let’s connect.