Bank of Canada Rate Announcement Dec 11th, 2024

Josh Perez • December 11, 2024

Bank of Canada reduces policy rate by 50 basis points to 3¼%.


FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Media Relations

Ottawa, Ontario

December 11, 2024


The Bank of Canada today reduced its target for the overnight rate to 3¼%, with the Bank Rate at 3¾% and the deposit rate at 3¼%. The Bank is continuing its policy of balance sheet normalization.


The global economy is evolving largely as expected in the Bank’s October Monetary Policy Report (MPR). In the United States, the economy continues to show broad-based strength, with robust consumption and a solid labour market. US inflation has been holding steady, with some price pressures persisting. In the euro area, recent indicators point to weaker growth. In China, recent policy actions combined with strong exports are supporting growth, but household spending remains subdued. Global financial conditions have eased and the Canadian dollar has depreciated in the face of broad-based strength in the US dollar.


In Canada, the economy grew by 1% in the third quarter, somewhat below the Bank’s October projection, and the fourth quarter also looks weaker than projected. Third-quarter GDP growth was pulled down by business investment, inventories and exports. In contrast, consumer spending and housing activity both picked up, suggesting lower interest rates are beginning to boost household spending. Historical revisions to the National Accounts have increased the level of GDP over the past three years, largely reflecting higher investment and consumption. The unemployment rate rose to 6.8% in November as employment continued to grow more slowly than the labour force. Wage growth showed some signs of easing, but remains elevated relative to productivity.


A number of policy measures have been announced that will affect the outlook for near-term growth and inflation in Canada. Reductions in targeted immigration levels suggest GDP growth next year will be below the Bank’s October forecast. The effects on inflation will likely be more muted, given that lower immigration dampens both demand and supply. Other federal and provincial policies—including a temporary suspension of the GST on some consumer products, one-time payments to individuals, and changes to mortgage rules—will affect the dynamics of demand and inflation. The Bank will look through effects that are temporary and focus on underlying trends to guide its policy decisions.


In addition, the possibility the incoming US administration will impose new tariffs on Canadian exports to the United States has increased uncertainty and clouded the economic outlook.


CPI inflation has been about 2% since the summer, and is expected to average close to the 2% target over the next couple of years. Since October, the upward pressure on inflation from shelter and the downward pressure from goods prices have both moderated as expected. Looking ahead, the GST holiday will temporarily lower inflation but that will be unwound once the GST break ends. Measures of core inflation will help us assess the trend in CPI inflation.


With inflation around 2%, the economy in excess supply, and recent indicators tilted towards softer growth than projected, Governing Council decided to reduce the policy rate by a further 50 basis points to support growth and keep inflation close to the middle of the 1-3% target range. Governing Council has reduced the policy rate substantially since June. Going forward, we will be evaluating the need for further reductions in the policy rate one decision at a time. Our decisions will be guided by incoming information and our assessment of the implications for the inflation outlook. The Bank is committed to maintaining price stability for Canadians by keeping inflation close to the 2% target.


Information note

The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is January 29, 2025. The Bank will publish its next full outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, in the MPR at the same time.


Josh Perez
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Best Mortgage Options for Canadian Homebuyers

By Josh Perez • April 8, 2026
Thinking of Calling Your Bank for a Mortgage? Read This First. If you're buying a home or renewing your mortgage, your first instinct might be to call your bank. It's familiar. It's easy. But it might also cost you more than you realize—in money, flexibility, and long-term satisfaction. Before you sign anything, here are four things your bank won’t tell you—and four reasons why working with an independent mortgage professional is the smarter move. 1. Your Bank Offers Limited Mortgage Options Banks can only offer what they sell. So if your financial situation doesn’t fit neatly into their guidelines—or if you’re looking for competitive terms—you might be out of luck. Working with a mortgage broker? You get access to mortgage products from hundreds of lenders : major banks, credit unions, monoline lenders, alternative lenders, B lenders, and even private funds. That means more options, more flexibility, and a much better chance of finding a mortgage that fits you. 2. Bank Reps Are Salespeople—Not Mortgage Strategists Let’s be honest: most bank mortgage reps are trained to sell their employer’s products—not to analyze your financial goals or tailor a long-term mortgage plan. Their job is to generate revenue for the bank. Independent mortgage professionals are different. We’re not tied to one lender—we’re tied to you. Our job is to shop around, negotiate on your behalf, and recommend the mortgage that offers the best balance of rate, terms, and flexibility. And yes, we get paid by the lender—but only after we find you a mortgage that works for your situation. That creates a win-win-win: you get the best deal, we earn our fee, and the lender earns your business. 3. Banks Don’t Lead with Their Best Rate It’s true. Banks often reserve their best rates for those who ask for them—or threaten to walk. And guess what? Most people don’t. Over 50% of Canadians accept the first renewal offer they get by mail. No questions asked. That’s exactly what the banks count on. Mortgage professionals don’t play that game. We start by finding lenders offering competitive rates upfront, and we handle the negotiations for you. There’s no guesswork, no pressure, and no settling for less than you deserve. 4. Bank Mortgages Are Often More Restrictive Than You Think Not all mortgages are created equal. Some come with hidden traps—especially around penalties. Ever heard of a sky-high prepayment charge when someone breaks their mortgage early? That’s often due to something called an Interest Rate Differential (IRD) —and big banks are notorious for using the harshest IRD calculations. When we help you choose a mortgage, we don’t just focus on the interest rate. We look at the whole picture, including: Prepayment privileges Penalty calculations Portability Future flexibility That way, if your life changes, your mortgage won’t become a financial anchor. A Quick Recap What your bank typically offers: Only their own limited mortgage products Sales-focused representatives, not mortgage strategists Default rates that aren’t usually their best Restrictive contracts with high penalties What an independent mortgage professional delivers: Access to over 200 lenders and customized mortgage solutions Personalized advice and long-term financial strategy Competitive rates and terms upfront Transparent, flexible mortgage options designed around your needs Let’s Talk Before You Sign Your mortgage is likely the biggest financial commitment you’ll ever make. So why settle for a one-size-fits-all solution? If you're buying, refinancing, or renewing, I’d love to help you explore your options, explain the fine print, and find a mortgage that truly works for you. Let’s start with a conversation—no pressure, just good advice.

Stop Waiting for the Perfect Time to Buy: A Framework That Actually Works

By Josh Perez • April 3, 2026
Watch the video that inspired this post: Waiting for the perfect time to buy is why most people stay stuck. The Trap That Keeps Buyers on the Sidelines Ask most people why they haven't bought a home yet and you'll hear some version of the same answer: "I'm waiting for the right time." They're watching interest rates. They're tracking home prices. They're waiting for a signal — some clear, unmistakable sign that now is the moment to move. Here's the truth: that signal never comes. Not in the way most people imagine it. The market doesn't send you a notification. There's no headline that reads "Perfect time to buy — act now." And the longer you wait for certainty, the more time passes, the more equity you don't build, and the more rent you pay into someone else's mortgage. Waiting for the perfect time to buy is exactly why most people stay stuck. Why You Can't Time the Market — And Don't Need To Nobody nails the timing. Not investors. Not economists. Not the people who've been watching the market for twenty years. The idea that there's a precise moment when everything aligns perfectly is a myth — and chasing it is one of the most expensive mistakes a buyer can make. What you can do is follow a framework that removes the guesswork. Instead of trying to predict the market, you assess your own situation against three concrete pillars. When all three are in place, the timing question answers itself. The Three-Pillar Framework Pillar 1: Affordability Not what you hope you can stretch into. Not the maximum amount a lender will approve you for. The real, honest monthly payment you can handle without financial stress — with room left over for life. A lot of buyers make the mistake of working backwards from the maximum approval number. That's how you end up house-poor: technically a homeowner, but unable to enjoy any of it because every dollar goes to the mortgage. True affordability means the payment fits your life, not the other way around. Before you start looking at properties, get clear on your number. What monthly payment leaves you comfortable? That's your ceiling — not what the bank says you can borrow. Pillar 2: Stability A mortgage is a long-term commitment. Lenders know this, which is why they scrutinize your employment history and income so closely. But stability isn't just about satisfying a lender — it's about protecting yourself. If your job is secure, your income is consistent, and your financial life isn't in a period of major upheaval, your window is already open. You don't need to be rich. You don't need a perfect credit score. You need a stable foundation that a mortgage can be built on. If your situation is genuinely uncertain — a career change in progress, a major life transition underway — it may make sense to wait until things settle. But if you're stable and simply feeling uncertain because the market feels uncertain, that's a different problem entirely. Pillar 3: Market Fundamentals You don't need to predict where prices are going. You don't need to call the top or the bottom. What you need to assess is whether the market you're buying in has steady demand and whether the carrying costs make sense relative to what you'd pay to rent. In most Ontario markets, the fundamentals have remained strong over the long term. Population growth, limited housing supply, and consistent demand have historically supported property values. That doesn't mean every property in every neighbourhood is a smart buy — but it does mean that a well-chosen purchase in a stable market tends to reward patient owners. When All Three Line Up, Buy This is the framework. It's not complicated, but it is disciplined. When affordability is in place, your situation is stable, and the market fundamentals support a purchase — stop waiting. The timing question has answered itself. Every month you delay in a stable market is a month of appreciation you miss, a month of equity you don't build, and a month of rent that disappears with nothing to show for it. The cost of waiting is real, even when it's invisible. "You're not going to nail the timing. Nobody does. But you can follow a framework that works regardless of what the market's doing." — Josh Perez Apply This to Your Situation The three pillars are straightforward in theory. Applying them to your specific income, credit profile, down payment, and target market is where it gets nuanced — and where working with the right mortgage professional makes all the difference. I've helped over 1,000 people in Ontario work through exactly this kind of analysis. In most cases, buyers are closer to ready than they think. A single conversation is often enough to give you a clear picture of where you stand and what your next step should be.  Ready to stop waiting and start planning? Book your free consultation today and let's apply this framework to your situation.