Keep Your Eyes on the Prize: Why Timing the Market is a Losing Game

Josh Perez • February 13, 2025

One of the most common concerns I hear from clients and investors is, "When is the perfect time to buy real estate?" My answer? Stop chasing perfect timing—it doesn’t exist. Instead, keep your eyes on your long-term goals and build a plan that works for you.


The Illusion of Perfect Timing

If there’s one thing the last few years have taught us—especially since COVID and the economic uncertainty that followed—it’s that even the experts can’t predict the market with absolute accuracy. They might get the general direction right, but the timing? That’s nearly impossible to nail down.


Waiting for the absolute perfect moment to buy, sell, or invest is a risky strategy. The truth is, there will always be market fluctuations, changes in interest rates, and external factors beyond our control. What matters most is focusing on your specific goals and making smart, well-informed decisions based on what’s right for you, rather than getting caught up in market noise.


Build a Plan, Not a Prediction

Rather than stressing over when rates will drop or if the market will shift in your favor, focus on building a solid real estate plan. Ask yourself:

  • What are your short-term and long-term real estate goals?
  • What kind of property best fits your financial situation and lifestyle?
  • Are you in a position to qualify for the right mortgage today?

A structured plan ensures that you stay on track, regardless of market fluctuations. And just as importantly, it should be a dynamic plan—one that gets updated as market conditions change.


Why Staying Informed Matters

While perfect timing isn’t realistic, staying informed is essential. Take recent changes in bond rates, for example. Fixed mortgage rates have decreased by more than one percent in the last 90 days—this kind of movement can significantly impact:

  • Your mortgage qualification amount
  • Your monthly payments
  • The type of home you can afford

For instance, a lower mortgage rate could mean the difference between affording a $700,000 home vs. an $800,000 home, or having a $1,500 monthly payment vs. an $1,800 one. These shifts in affordability can have a huge impact on your financial future, making it crucial to monitor the market and adjust your strategy accordingly.



The Bottom Line

At the end of the day, real estate success isn’t about guessing the market—it’s about preparing for it. Work with an experienced mortgage professional who can help you navigate changes, analyze the numbers, and find the best path forward.


If you're ready to stop waiting for the “perfect” time and start making smart, strategic moves toward your real estate goals, let’s connect. The best time to take action is when you're prepared—and that starts with having the right plan in place.

"Keep your eyes on the prize, not all the noise. Perfect timing is impossible—what matters is building a plan for your real estate goals and refreshing it often."

Josh Perez
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Deposit vs. Down Payment: Key Differences for Homebuyers

By Josh Perez • February 18, 2026
When you’re buying a home, two terms often cause confusion: deposit and down payment . While they’re related, they serve very different purposes in the homebuying process. Here’s what you need to know. What Is a Deposit? A deposit is the money you provide when you make an offer on a property. Think of it as a show of good faith that proves you’re serious about purchasing. How it works : Typically, you provide a certified cheque or bank draft that your real estate brokerage holds in trust. If your offer is accepted, the deposit remains in trust until the deal moves forward. If negotiations fall through, the deposit is refunded. Connection to your down payment : Once the sale is finalized, your deposit becomes part of your total down payment. Why it matters : The amount is negotiable, but a larger deposit can make your offer more attractive in a competitive market. Keep in mind, however, that if you back out after conditions are removed, you risk losing your deposit. What Is a Down Payment? Your down payment is the amount you contribute toward the purchase price of your home when securing a mortgage. Minimum requirement : In Canada, the minimum down payment is 5% of the home’s purchase price. Anything less than 20% requires mortgage default insurance. Sources : Down payments can come from your savings, the sale of another property, RRSP withdrawals (through the Home Buyers’ Plan), a gift from family, or even borrowed funds. Example: How They Work Together Imagine you’re buying a $400,000 home with a 10% down payment ($40,000). When you make your offer, you provide a $10,000 deposit . Once conditions are met, that deposit is transferred to your lawyer’s trust account. At closing, you add the remaining $30,000 to complete your full down payment. The lender provides the rest—$360,000—through your mortgage. The Bottom Line Your deposit shows commitment and secures your offer, while your down payment is what makes the mortgage possible. Together, they work hand in hand to get you into your new home. 📞 If you’d like clarity on deposits, down payments, or any other part of the mortgage process, let’s connect. I’d be happy to walk you through it step by step.
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Is a 5% Down Payment a Mistake? Here’s the Unpopular Truth.

By Josh Perez • February 15, 2026
Discover why a 5% down payment isn’t always irresponsible. Learn when a low down payment is a smart financial move for Ontario homebuyers and when it’s a risk.